Outcome Bias
- Antigone Vesci
- Mar 31
- 1 min read
A good outcome doesn’t always mean it was a good decision. Winning the lottery is a great outcome—but buying the ticket is still a bad decision.
If your patient gets better, it doesn’t mean the choices you made were sound. Decisions should be judged by the quality of the reasoning and evidence behind them, not just by how things turned out.

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